Progress / AFA Olaine 5-0 Rezekne / BJSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.61
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+17.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-17.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.1pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/4.74
-7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progress / AFA Olaine
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.05.2024 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 1-2 HT 1-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
27.05.2023 Rezekne / BJSS Rezekne / BJSS 2-0 HT 2-0 Progress / AFA Olaine Progress / AFA Olaine LET1
POST-MATCH Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rezekne / BJSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progress / AFA Olaine ran out comfortable winners over Rezekne / BJSS 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Progress / AFA Olaine as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Progress / AFA Olaine and 1.50 for Rezekne / BJSS.

What was the final score of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Progress / AFA Olaine 5-0 Rezekne / BJSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progress / AFA Olaine vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progress / AFA Olaine win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Progress / AFA Olaine 49%, draw 24%, Rezekne / BJSS 27%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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