Tiller vs Nardo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tiller v Nardo — Team-Based Signals
Tiller vs Nardo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Tiller
NOR4
1-4
HT 0-3
Nardo
NOR4
4-3
HT 4-1
Nardo
NOR4
0-2
HT 0-1
Nardo
NOK
5-2
HT 4-0
Tiller
NOR4
Tiller 2-1 Nardo — Actual Match Statistics
Tiller squeezed past Nardo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
This one beat our numbers. Nardo carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tiller had 38% of the ball to Nardo's 62%, shots finished 5-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nardo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tiller and 3.00 for Nardo.
What was the final score of Tiller vs Nardo?
Tiller 2-1 Nardo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tiller vs Nardo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tiller 19%, draw 26%, Nardo 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nardo) went the other way.