Nardo 1-2 Tiller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Jul 2024

Nardo
1-2 HT 0-1
Tiller
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2024

Nardo vs Tiller Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
15%
4.95
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.94
Over 2.5
70%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.3pp
15%
Draw
17%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.8pp
30%
Under 2.5
22%
+7.9pp
70%
Over 2.5
78%
-7.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.1pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nardo v Tiller — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiller EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
3.86/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.53
+22% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +68%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.0

Nardo vs Tiller Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nardo
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Tiller
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Nardo Nardo 3-1 HT 0-1 Tiller Tiller NOR4
10.06.2023 Tiller Tiller 1-4 HT 0-3 Nardo Nardo NOR4
10.09.2022 Tiller Tiller 4-3 HT 4-1 Nardo Nardo NOR4
19.05.2022 Tiller Tiller 0-2 HT 0-1 Nardo Nardo NOK
30.04.2022 Nardo Nardo 5-2 HT 4-0 Tiller Tiller NOR4
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Tiller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiller edged past Nardo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nardo at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nardo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Nardo and 1.60 for Tiller.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Tiller?

Nardo 1-2 Tiller in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Tiller?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Nardo 60%, draw 15%, Tiller 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nardo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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