Kristiansund II 1-1 Gjellerasen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Jul 2024

Kristiansund II
1-1 HT 0-1
Gjellerasen
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2024

Kristiansund II vs Gjellerasen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.2pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kristiansund II v Gjellerasen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gjellerasen EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.15
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Kristiansund II 1-1 Gjellerasen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund II
1-1
AWAY Gjellerasen
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kristiansund II vs Gjellerasen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund II and Gjellerasen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gjellerasen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Kristiansund II had 54% of the ball to Gjellerasen's 46%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Kristiansund II vs Gjellerasen?

Kristiansund II 1-1 Gjellerasen in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund II vs Gjellerasen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gjellerasen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund II 32%, draw 23%, Gjellerasen 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gjellerasen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gjellerasen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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