Stromsgodset II 4-4 Melhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
13%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
61%
+6.6pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.0pp
13%
Away Win
20%
-6.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.3pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Melhus EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
3.39/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.19
+31% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
502 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset II
4-4
AWAY Melhus
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset II vs Melhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset II and Melhus couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Stromsgodset II carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stromsgodset II had 61% of the ball to Melhus's 39%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset II vs Melhus?

Stromsgodset II 4-4 Melhus in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset II vs Melhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset II win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset II 68%, draw 19%, Melhus 13%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stromsgodset II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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