General Caballero JLM 0-4 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.04/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.32
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 28.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME General Caballero JLM
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
29.01.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
25.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
10.09.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-4 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
03.06.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
03.04.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME General Caballero JLM
0-4
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano swept aside General Caballero JLM 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Ameliano found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, General Caballero JLM had 51% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for General Caballero JLM and 1.50 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Ameliano?

General Caballero JLM 0-4 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for General Caballero JLM vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a General Caballero JLM win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split General Caballero JLM 37%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (General Caballero JLM), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (General Caballero JLM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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