Kızılyıldız 2-0 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
4.0
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
85%
-12.4pp
16%
Draw
9%
+7.0pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
2.77/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.17
+35% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
47.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
28.5 Crosses 13.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.17 xG 0.58
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
439 Passes 181
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
34 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-3 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
03.12.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
06.08.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-0 HT 3-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
03.05.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRBK
19.03.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
18.09.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
2-0
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
3.82 xG 0.37
73% Ball Possession 27%
32 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
596 Passes 179
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
61 Box Touches 11
43 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız got the better of Napredak Krusevac 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 73% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 27%, shots finished 32-4, expected goals 3.82 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.17 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac?

Kızılyıldız 2-0 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 72%, draw 16%, Napredak Krusevac 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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