Mladost Lucani 2-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.91
Over 2.5
62%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.66
No
37%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-10.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+10.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.6pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.23/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.28
+22% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
22.2 Crosses 23.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
225 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2 HT 1-2 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.04.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
29.10.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 4-1 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
30.10.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
17.07.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
26.04.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
2-1
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.92 xG 1.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
137 Passes 384
59% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani edged past Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 42% — and on the day Mladost Lucani made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 35% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 65%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.92 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mladost Lucani and 1.33 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Mladost Lucani 2-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 37%, draw 21%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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