Bistrica 2-1 Rudar Velenje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Velenje EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.73/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/2.44
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rudar Velenje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.11.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 5-1 HT 2-1 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje SLVN2
30.07.2023 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 0-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
29.10.2022 Rudar Velenje Rudar Velenje 2-1 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
2-1
AWAY Rudar Velenje
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Rudar Velenje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica edged past Rudar Velenje 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bistrica as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Bistrica had 54% of the ball to Rudar Velenje's 46%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bistrica and 1.00 for Rudar Velenje.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Rudar Velenje?

Bistrica 2-1 Rudar Velenje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Rudar Velenje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 46%, draw 23%, Rudar Velenje 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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