Tolmin 0-1 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.7pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.5pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 52%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.01/2.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.05
-8% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij edged past Tolmin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Aluminij?

Tolmin 0-1 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 30%, draw 18%, Aluminij 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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