Jadran Dekani 1-0 Dravinja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dravinja EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.58/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.00
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jadran Dekani
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dravinja
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
8 Corners 9
04.11.2023 Dravinja Dravinja 0-1 HT 0-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
29.07.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-1 HT 0-0 Dravinja Dravinja SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jadran Dekani
1-0
AWAY Dravinja
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jadran Dekani vs Dravinja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jadran Dekani nicked a narrow win over Dravinja 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Jadran Dekani found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jadran Dekani had 48% of the ball to Dravinja's 52%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jadran Dekani and 0.50 for Dravinja.

What was the final score of Jadran Dekani vs Dravinja?

Jadran Dekani 1-0 Dravinja in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jadran Dekani vs Dravinja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jadran Dekani win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jadran Dekani 39%, draw 26%, Dravinja 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jadran Dekani), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jadran Dekani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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