Diyarbekir Spor 2-4 Serik Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.34
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diyarbekir Spor EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
223 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diyarbekir Spor
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Serik Belediyespor
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Serik Belediyespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor S2-B
03.09.2023 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor 1-0 HT 0-0 Serik Belediyespor S2-B
03.12.2022 Serik Belediyespor 4-1 HT 2-1 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor S2-K
26.11.2021 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor 3-0 HT 2-0 Serik Belediyespor S2-K
POST-MATCH Diyarbekir Spor vs Serik Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor got the better of Diyarbekir Spor 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Serik Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Diyarbekir Spor had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Diyarbekir Spor and 1.00 for Serik Belediyespor.

What was the final score of Diyarbekir Spor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Diyarbekir Spor 2-4 Serik Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diyarbekir Spor vs Serik Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Serik Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Diyarbekir Spor 26%, draw 26%, Serik Belediyespor 48%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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