Ankara Demirspor 3-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.8pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 34%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.63/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.07
-47% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankara Demirspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-3 HT 0-3 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-B
26.08.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B
23.04.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-2 HT 2-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-K
20.11.2022 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-K
25.12.2021 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B
08.02.2012 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S3-3
POST-MATCH Ankara Demirspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankara Demirspor saw off Karacabey Belediye Spor 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 36% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ankara Demirspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ankara Demirspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ankara Demirspor and 1.00 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of Ankara Demirspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Ankara Demirspor 3-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankara Demirspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ankara Demirspor 33%, draw 36%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 30%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
14 Sep 2024
15:30 Diyarbekir Spor vs Serik Belediyespor Analysis →
15:30 Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Ankaraspor Analysis →
19:00 Elazığspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor Analysis →