Elazığspor 3-1 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.09
No
45%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-15.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.9pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 18%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.92
-38% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
394 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elazığspor got the better of Nazilli Belediyespor 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elazığspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Elazığspor 3-1 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 46%, draw 27%, Nazilli Belediyespor 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elazığspor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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