Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prag Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hradec Kralove v Sparta Prag — Team-Based Signals
Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Sparta Prag
ÇEK
2-1
HT 0-1
Hradec Kralove
ÇEK
Hradec Kralove 2-1 Sparta Prag — Actual Match Statistics
Hradec Kralove squeezed past Sparta Prag 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Hradec Kralove had 34% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 66%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.41 to 2.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sparta Prag.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hradec Kralove and 2.33 for Sparta Prag.
What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prag?
Hradec Kralove 2-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prag?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 22%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag), Under 2.5 went the other way.