Vastra Frolunda IF 4-2 Jonsereds IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
14%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.2pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.55/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.43
-20% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Jonsereds IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF 4-2 HT 2-2 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
19.10.2024 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF 1-3 HT 1-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
09.06.2024 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-2 HT 1-2 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
4-2
AWAY Jonsereds IF
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vastra Frolunda IF vs Jonsereds IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF beat Jonsereds IF 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vastra Frolunda IF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vastra Frolunda IF had 56% of the ball to Jonsereds IF's 44%, shots finished 10-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jonsereds IF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vastra Frolunda IF and 2.33 for Jonsereds IF.

What was the final score of Vastra Frolunda IF vs Jonsereds IF?

Vastra Frolunda IF 4-2 Jonsereds IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vastra Frolunda IF vs Jonsereds IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vastra Frolunda IF 44%, draw 30%, Jonsereds IF 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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