Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.51/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.10
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1-0
AWAY Real Madrid II
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II edged past Real Madrid II 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 49% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 51%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Real Madrid II?

Athletic Bilbao II 1-0 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 48%, draw 23%, Real Madrid II 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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