Atletico Madrid II 1-1 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.02/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.93
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
09.11.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
02.01.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
1-1
AWAY Real Murcia
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II and Real Murcia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 63% of the ball to Real Murcia's 37%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 1.00 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Real Murcia?

Atletico Madrid II 1-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 36%, draw 27%, Real Murcia 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Murcia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5
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