La Union Atletico 1-1 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.26/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.36
-11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 2-1 HT 0-1 Xerez Deportivo İS4
03.11.2024 Xerez Deportivo 1-0 HT 1-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico and Xerez Deportivo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was La Union Atletico at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for La Union Atletico and 1.00 for Xerez Deportivo.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Xerez Deportivo?

La Union Atletico 1-1 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 46%, draw 27%, Xerez Deportivo 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (La Union Atletico), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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