Xerez Deportivo 1-0 La Union Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.38
Over 2.5
37%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.08/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.43
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
1-0
AWAY La Union Atletico
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs La Union Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo squeezed past La Union Atletico 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Xerez Deportivo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 45% of the ball to La Union Atletico's 55%, shots finished 3-9.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs La Union Atletico?

Xerez Deportivo 1-0 La Union Atletico in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs La Union Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 40%, draw 32%, La Union Atletico 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez Deportivo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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