La Union Atletico 2-1 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.32/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.26
-6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
449 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Xerez Deportivo 1-0 HT 1-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
2-1
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico edged past Xerez Deportivo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had La Union Atletico as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 65% of the ball to Xerez Deportivo's 35%, shots finished 12-2.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Xerez Deportivo?

La Union Atletico 2-1 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 49%, draw 30%, Xerez Deportivo 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Union Atletico) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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