Real Madrid III 1-2 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
0.76/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.63
-27% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid III
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cacereno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Cacereno Cacereno 2-2 HT 0-2 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid III
1-2
AWAY Cacereno
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid III vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno squeezed past Real Madrid III 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cacereno found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid III had 46% of the ball to Cacereno's 54%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Real Madrid III vs Cacereno?

Real Madrid III 1-2 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid III vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid III 33%, draw 28%, Cacereno 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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