Trapani 1905 2-0 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.67
6+ Goals
12%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.31/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.97
-9% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trapani 1905
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Casertana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 0-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
14.12.2024 Casertana Casertana 0-1 HT 0-0 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trapani 1905
2-0
AWAY Casertana
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trapani 1905 vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trapani 1905 beat Casertana 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trapani 1905 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Trapani 1905 had 50% of the ball to Casertana's 50%, shots finished 5-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Trapani 1905 and 0.50 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Trapani 1905 vs Casertana?

Trapani 1905 2-0 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trapani 1905 vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trapani 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trapani 1905 47%, draw 23%, Casertana 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trapani 1905), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trapani 1905) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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