Trapani 1905 0-1 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 32%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.46/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.09
+11% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trapani 1905
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Casertana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Casertana Casertana 0-1 HT 0-0 Trapani 1905 Trapani 1905 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trapani 1905
0-1
AWAY Casertana
63% Ball Possession 37%
5 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trapani 1905 vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana nicked a narrow win over Trapani 1905 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Casertana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trapani 1905 had 63% of the ball to Casertana's 37%, shots finished 5-4.

What was the final score of Trapani 1905 vs Casertana?

Trapani 1905 0-1 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trapani 1905 vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trapani 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trapani 1905 38%, draw 32%, Casertana 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trapani 1905), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trapani 1905) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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