Milan II 1-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 25%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +21%
1.22/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
-15% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-1 HT 0-0 Milan II Milan II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
1-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
54% Ball Possession 46%
31 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan II vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II and Vis Pesaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Milan II had 54% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 46%, shots finished 31-11.

What was the final score of Milan II vs Vis Pesaro?

Milan II 1-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Milan II 40%, draw 27%, Vis Pesaro 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Milan II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan II) ✓ Under 2.5
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