Athletic Carpi 0-2 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.36
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.66
6+ Goals
6%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sestri Levante
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 1-3 HT 0-2 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
0-2
AWAY Sestri Levante
64% Ball Possession 36%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestri Levante beat Athletic Carpi 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Sestri Levante made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 64% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 36%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Sestri Levante?

Athletic Carpi 0-2 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sestri Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 34%, draw 31%, Sestri Levante 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sestri Levante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sestri Levante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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