Real Madrid (K) 2-1 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.3
Draw
33%
4.95
Away
33%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
72%
-38.9pp
33%
Draw
17%
+16.4pp
33%
Away Win
11%
+22.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.62/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.38
+28% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
43.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.3 Crosses 11.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.93 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
414 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2025 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 7-3 HT 2-1 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
05.05.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
07.01.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
2-1
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
0.55 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
336 Passes 268
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 11
7 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Madrid CFF (K) 2-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 55% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 45%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.55 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Madrid (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Real Madrid (K) and 1.33 for Madrid CFF (K).

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 2-1 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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