Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 16%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.58/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.40
+10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Alvarado
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
11.05.2025 Alvarado Alvarado 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
07.08.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-1 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn squeezed past Alvarado 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Madryn as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 0.50 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Alvarado?

Deportivo Madryn 1-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 62%, draw 22%, Alvarado 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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