Alvarado 0-2 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 May 2025

Alvarado
0-2 HT 0-1
Deportivo Madryn
📅11/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Alvarado vs Deportivo Madryn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.2pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-9.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alvarado v Deportivo Madryn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
0.78/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.64
-19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Alvarado vs Deportivo Madryn Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
07.08.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-1 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn got the better of Alvarado 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 36% / 26%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Madryn found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Deportivo Madryn?

Alvarado 0-2 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 38%, draw 36%, Deportivo Madryn 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alvarado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvarado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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