Atletico Atlanta 3-1 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
39%
2.61
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
Over 2.5
18%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.67
No
63%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
15%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.4pp
39%
Draw
35%
+3.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.0pp
63%
BTTS No
67%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +35%
1.03/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.52
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +97%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2022 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
18.08.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
04.04.2021 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta beat San Martin Tucuman 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 39% / 32%) promised a tight game; Atletico Atlanta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (82%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 1.33 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?

Atletico Atlanta 3-1 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 29%, draw 39%, San Martin Tucuman 32%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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