Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Agropecuario Argentino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.51
No
50%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
60%
-15.8pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.2pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
36%
+14.1pp
50%
BTTS No
64%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -22%
1.61/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.59
+16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Agropecuario Argentino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
07.10.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
26.05.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 HT 0-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
31.07.2022 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
25.07.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
13.03.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Agropecuario Argentino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza squeezed past Agropecuario Argentino 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 0.60 for Agropecuario Argentino.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Agropecuario Argentino in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Agropecuario Argentino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 44%, draw 33%, Agropecuario Argentino 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✗ Under 2.5
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