Ried 0-2 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2025

Ried
0-2 HT 0-1
Hartberg
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Ried vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.35
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
11%
6.27
X/2
13%
4.79
X/X
7%
5.73
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
21%
2.9
2/X
8%
14.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.35 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.37/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.97
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
16.7 Crosses 12.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ried vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hartberg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
337 Passes 265
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.05.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
08.04.2023 Ried Ried 1-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
12.02.2023 Ried Ried 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
27.08.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
20.05.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
09.04.2022 Ried Ried 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU

Ried 0-2 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
0-2
AWAY Hartberg
0.76 xG 1.22
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
345 Passes 211
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ried vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg beat Ried 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 42% — and on the day Hartberg made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ried had 59% of the ball to Hartberg's 41%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.76 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ried and 1.50 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Ried vs Hartberg?

Ried 0-2 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ried 37%, draw 22%, Hartberg 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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