Rapid Wien 4-1 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.87
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
20%
4.09
X/2
6%
11.25
X/X
8%
6.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.0
2/2
8%
8.64
2/X
6%
17.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.6pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
2.00/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.02
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.1 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.29 xG 0.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
425 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
18.08.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
05.12.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
27.08.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
12.03.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
18.10.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-4 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
4-1
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.42 xG 0.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
513 Passes 327
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien ran out comfortable winners over Swarovski Tirol 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 59% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 41%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.42 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rapid Wien and 0.50 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Swarovski Tirol?

Rapid Wien 4-1 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 63%, draw 19%, Swarovski Tirol 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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