Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sturm Graz 0-1 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics
Austria Wien nicked a narrow win over Sturm Graz 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Austria Wien made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 69% of the ball to Austria Wien's 31%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.86 to 0.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.50 for Austria Wien.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien?
Sturm Graz 0-1 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 39%, draw 28%, Austria Wien 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sturm Graz), BTTS Yes went the other way.