Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Austria Wien
AVU
Sturm Graz 0-1 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics
Austria Wien nicked a narrow win over Sturm Graz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Austria Wien found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 39% of the ball to Austria Wien's 61%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.44 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.50 for Austria Wien.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien?
Sturm Graz 0-1 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 38%, draw 27%, Austria Wien 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sturm Graz) went the other way.