Naestved vs Thisted Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naestved v Thisted — Team-Based Signals
Naestved vs Thisted Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-1
Thisted
DAN2
2-1
HT 1-0
Naestved
DAN2
Naestved 0-2 Thisted — Actual Match Statistics
Thisted saw off Naestved 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Naestved at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Naestved had 69% of the ball to Thisted's 31%, shots finished 12-6.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Naestved had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naestved and 1.50 for Thisted.
What was the final score of Naestved vs Thisted?
Naestved 0-2 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naestved vs Thisted?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naestved 42%, draw 26%, Thisted 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.