South China 1-0 Kwun Tong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.3
Draw
14%
5.15
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
72%
-3.3pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.8pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwun Tong EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
436 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
1-0
AWAY Kwun Tong
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH South China vs Kwun Tong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China nicked a narrow win over Kwun Tong 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, South China had 66% of the ball to Kwun Tong's 34%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of South China vs Kwun Tong?

South China 1-0 Kwun Tong in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Kwun Tong?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split South China 69%, draw 14%, Kwun Tong 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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