WSE 4-0 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME WSE EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME WSE
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sham Shui Po
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 1-3 WSE HK2
29.09.2024 WSE 0-1 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME WSE
4-0
AWAY Sham Shui Po
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH WSE vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

WSE swept aside Sham Shui Po 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had WSE as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, WSE had 56% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 44%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for WSE and 1.00 for Sham Shui Po.

What was the final score of WSE vs Sham Shui Po?

WSE 4-0 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for WSE vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated a WSE win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split WSE 50%, draw 27%, Sham Shui Po 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (WSE), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (WSE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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