Sham Shui Po 1-3 WSE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-5.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY WSE EU Bookmakers 57%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.06/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+75% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sham Shui Po
1W-0D-0L
AWAY WSE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.09.2024 WSE 0-1 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sham Shui Po
1-3
AWAY WSE
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sham Shui Po vs WSE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

WSE got the better of Sham Shui Po 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had WSE as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sham Shui Po had 54% of the ball to WSE's 46%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs WSE?

Sham Shui Po 1-3 WSE in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs WSE?

Before kick-off our model rated an WSE win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 29%, draw 23%, WSE 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (WSE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (WSE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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