Shatin SA 1-1 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
33%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.3pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 48%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.20/2.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.38
-15% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
258 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Yuen Long
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-3 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
17.03.2024 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-3 HT 1-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
17.12.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 3-0 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
29.01.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-1 HT 3-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
06.11.2022 Yuen Long Yuen Long 3-1 HT 2-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
24.10.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-2 HT 1-2 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA and Yuen Long couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shatin SA and 1.83 for Yuen Long.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Yuen Long?

Shatin SA 1-1 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 30%, draw 29%, Yuen Long 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yuen Long), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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