Wing Yee 2-6 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
14%
8.78
Away
75%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
1.0
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
24%
X/X
4%
2/1
2%
2/2
47%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
8%
+2.3pp
14%
Draw
11%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wing Yee EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 97%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.38/4.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.29/1.66
-67% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -40%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
266 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 505 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wing Yee
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Citizen AA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 4-0 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
17.03.2024 Wing Yee Wing Yee 2-0 HT 0-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
17.12.2023 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-0 HT 0-0 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
16.04.2023 Wing Yee Wing Yee 2-2 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
09.10.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 0-2 HT 0-0 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
03.10.2021 Wing Yee Wing Yee 0-0 HT 0-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
POST-MATCH Wing Yee vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA swept aside Wing Yee 6-2 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wing Yee and 1.17 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of Wing Yee vs Citizen AA?

Wing Yee 2-6 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wing Yee vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Wing Yee 10%, draw 14%, Citizen AA 75%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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