Eastern District 3-1 Tuen Mun SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.7pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.7pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 17%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tuen Mun SA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.09.2024 Tuen Mun SA Tuen Mun SA 0-2 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs Tuen Mun SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District saw off Tuen Mun SA 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastern District as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs Tuen Mun SA?

Eastern District 3-1 Tuen Mun SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs Tuen Mun SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern District win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 61%, draw 18%, Tuen Mun SA 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern District), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastern District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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