Hoi King 4-3 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.1pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoi King EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.58/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.35
+126% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoi King
2W-1D-2L
AWAY South China
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 South China South China 3-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
04.02.2024 South China South China 3-0 HT 0-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
03.12.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
26.02.2023 South China South China 0-1 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
24.10.2021 South China South China 0-1 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoi King
4-3
AWAY South China
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 25
8 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hoi King vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King squeezed past South China 4-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hoi King as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Hoi King had 35% of the ball to South China's 65%, shots finished 13-25.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Hoi King and 1.40 for South China.

What was the final score of Hoi King vs South China?

Hoi King 4-3 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoi King vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 45%, draw 18%, South China 36%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoi King), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoi King) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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