Hoi King 2-1 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.5pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoi King EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.19/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.73
+107% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
397 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoi King
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Shatin SA
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Hoi King Hoi King 3-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
13.10.2024 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-2 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
01.05.2024 Hoi King Hoi King 3-2 HT 0-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
26.11.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 5-1 HT 3-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
19.03.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-5 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
08.01.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-2 HT 1-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoi King
2-1
AWAY Shatin SA
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hoi King vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King edged past Shatin SA 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoi King as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hoi King had 54% of the ball to Shatin SA's 46%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoi King had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hoi King and 2.17 for Shatin SA.

What was the final score of Hoi King vs Shatin SA?

Hoi King 2-1 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoi King vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 45%, draw 19%, Shatin SA 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoi King), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoi King) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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