Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-1 JEF United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.68
Over 2.5
57%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.85
No
38%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
56%
-12.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
44%
+12.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
50%
+11.6pp
38%
BTTS No
50%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.50/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.30
+32% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
3W-0D-1L
AWAY JEF United (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.04.2025 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
21.09.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
14.04.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
03.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
1-1
AWAY JEF United (K)
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs JEF United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano (K) and JEF United (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 44% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 56%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parceiro Nagano (K) and 1.00 for JEF United (K).

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 41%, draw 23%, JEF United (K) 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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