JEF United (K) 1-2 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.98
-36% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
14.04.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
03.03.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano (K) edged past JEF United (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JEF United (K) and 1.00 for Parceiro Nagano (K).

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

JEF United (K) 1-2 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 43%, draw 32%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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