AS Elfen Saitama (K) 0-4 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
60%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
60%
Away Win
64%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.51/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.67
-41% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
10.12.2023 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
0-4
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) swept aside AS Elfen Saitama (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 29% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy B. (K)'s 71%, shots finished 5-19.

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 0-4 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 18%, draw 21%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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