Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 4-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.00/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.04.2024 Mynavi Sendai (K) Mynavi Sendai (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
16.03.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-2 HT 0-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) Mynavi Sendai (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
4-1
AWAY Mynavi Sendai (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) cruised past Mynavi Sendai (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 51% of the ball to Mynavi Sendai (K)'s 49%, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 1.50 for Mynavi Sendai (K).

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 4-1 Mynavi Sendai (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 52%, draw 27%, Mynavi Sendai (K) 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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