Panevezys II 0-2 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.08/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-11% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Lietava Jonava
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-0 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
17.09.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 4-1 HT 2-1 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
22.04.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-2 HT 0-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
15.10.2021 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 1-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panevezys II
0-2
AWAY Lietava Jonava
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava got the better of Panevezys II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lietava Jonava as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panevezys II had 37% of the ball to Lietava Jonava's 63%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Panevezys II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Panevezys II and 1.00 for Lietava Jonava.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Lietava Jonava?

Panevezys II 0-2 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 24%, draw 26%, Lietava Jonava 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lietava Jonava) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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