Be1 NFA 1-3 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+2.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.3pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Be1 NFA EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 55%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.00/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/0.32
-25% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Be1 NFA
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Atmosfera
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-4 HT 2-3 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
17.08.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-0 HT 1-0 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
26.06.2024 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 3-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
15.10.2022 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA 2-0 HT 1-0 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
31.05.2022 Atmosfera Atmosfera 0-2 Be1 NFA Be1 NFA LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Be1 NFA
1-3
AWAY Atmosfera
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera beat Be1 NFA 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Be1 NFA had 70% of the ball to Atmosfera's 30%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Be1 NFA had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Be1 NFA and 0.60 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera?

Be1 NFA 1-3 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Be1 NFA vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Be1 NFA 27%, draw 21%, Atmosfera 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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